Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Ankara on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes, as cooler air advection following recent showers has stabilized conditions without strong warming mechanisms. Historical September averages near 24°C provide climatological context, while the absence of heat domes or clear-sky amplification keeps higher probabilities for 25°C limited. Traders monitor final hourly observations tomorrow for resolution, with model consensus currently supporting the leading implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月19日安卡拉的最高溫度？
24°C 58%
23°C 22%
25°C 20%
22°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
22%
24°C
58%
25°C
20%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 58%
23°C 22%
25°C 20%
22°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
19°C或以下
$268 交易量
<1%
20°C
$163 交易量
<1%
21°C
$363 交易量
<1%
22°C
$623 交易量
2%
23°C
$1,698 交易量
22%
24°C
$2,447 交易量
58%
25°C
$3,034 交易量
20%
26°C
$484 交易量
<1%
27°C
$369 交易量
<1%
28°C
$55 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$261 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Ankara on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes, as cooler air advection following recent showers has stabilized conditions without strong warming mechanisms. Historical September averages near 24°C provide climatological context, while the absence of heat domes or clear-sky amplification keeps higher probabilities for 25°C limited. Traders monitor final hourly observations tomorrow for resolution, with model consensus currently supporting the leading implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,759結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Ankara on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes, as cooler air advection following recent showers has stabilized conditions without strong warming mechanisms. Historical September averages near 24°C provide climatological context, while the absence of heat domes or clear-sky amplification keeps higher probabilities for 25°C limited. Traders monitor final hourly observations tomorrow for resolution, with model consensus currently supporting the leading implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,759結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Ankara on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes, as cooler air advection following recent showers has stabilized conditions without strong warming mechanisms. Historical September averages near 24°C provide climatological context, while the absence of heat domes or clear-sky amplification keeps higher probabilities for 25°C limited. Traders monitor final hourly observations tomorrow for resolution, with model consensus currently supporting the leading implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions