Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a nighttime low of 13–14°C in Ankara on September 18, driven by moderate cloud cover, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly clear skies following recent showers. These conditions limit extreme overnight drops while preventing strong warming, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 13°C and 14°C outcomes. Higher-elevation sites near the city and typical September variability—where clear spells can shave 1–2°C—create the spread to 10°C or below, while any increase in cloud thickness or wind could hold temperatures near 15°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF equivalents remain the key upcoming data points likely to refine these narrow probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月18日安卡拉最低溫度？
10°C或以下 69%
20°C或以上 69%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
69%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
27%
14°C
30%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C或以上
69%
10°C或以下 69%
20°C或以上 69%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
69%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
30%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C或以上
$0 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a nighttime low of 13–14°C in Ankara on September 18, driven by moderate cloud cover, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly clear skies following recent showers. These conditions limit extreme overnight drops while preventing strong warming, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 13°C and 14°C outcomes. Higher-elevation sites near the city and typical September variability—where clear spells can shave 1–2°C—create the spread to 10°C or below, while any increase in cloud thickness or wind could hold temperatures near 15°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF equivalents remain the key upcoming data points likely to refine these narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a nighttime low of 13–14°C in Ankara on September 18, driven by moderate cloud cover, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly clear skies following recent showers. These conditions limit extreme overnight drops while preventing strong warming, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 13°C and 14°C outcomes. Higher-elevation sites near the city and typical September variability—where clear spells can shave 1–2°C—create the spread to 10°C or below, while any increase in cloud thickness or wind could hold temperatures near 15°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF equivalents remain the key upcoming data points likely to refine these narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a nighttime low of 13–14°C in Ankara on September 18, driven by moderate cloud cover, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly clear skies following recent showers. These conditions limit extreme overnight drops while preventing strong warming, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 13°C and 14°C outcomes. Higher-elevation sites near the city and typical September variability—where clear spells can shave 1–2°C—create the spread to 10°C or below, while any increase in cloud thickness or wind could hold temperatures near 15°C. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF equivalents remain the key upcoming data points likely to refine these narrow probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions