**Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Ankara on September 15, 2026, most likely in the 24–26°C range, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes of 25°C (52.5%), 24°C (24.5%), and 26°C (17%).** Current conditions on September 13 show highs near 32–33°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, but a cooling trend is underway as a high-pressure system strengthens and northerly flow advects cooler air. Official and ensemble forecasts (including those from Yr, global models, and local meteorological services) project a daily maximum of 24–26°C on the 15th, with minimums around 10–13°C overnight. September climatology supports this seasonal decline from late-summer peaks, and no significant warm advection, cloud cover changes, or model divergence appears in recent runs to shift the peak outside this narrow band. Traders are therefore pricing the 25°C outcome highest, reflecting tight consensus around the central forecast while assigning modest probability to slight model variations that could produce 24°C or 26°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data point for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月15日安卡拉的最高溫度？
25°C 53%
24°C 24%
26°C 17%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
24%
25°C
53%
26°C
17%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C或以上
6%
25°C 53%
24°C 24%
26°C 17%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
19°C或以下
$10 交易量
4%
20°C
$10 交易量
4%
21°C
$10 交易量
4%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
6%
24°C
$191 交易量
24%
25°C
$60 交易量
53%
26°C
$22 交易量
17%
27°C
$11 交易量
5%
28°C
$4 交易量
3%
29°C或以上
$10 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Ankara on September 15, 2026, most likely in the 24–26°C range, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes of 25°C (52.5%), 24°C (24.5%), and 26°C (17%).**
Current conditions on September 13 show highs near 32–33°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, but a cooling trend is underway as a high-pressure system strengthens and northerly flow advects cooler air. Official and ensemble forecasts (including those from Yr, global models, and local meteorological services) project a daily maximum of 24–26°C on the 15th, with minimums around 10–13°C overnight. September climatology supports this seasonal decline from late-summer peaks, and no significant warm advection, cloud cover changes, or model divergence appears in recent runs to shift the peak outside this narrow band. Traders are therefore pricing the 25°C outcome highest, reflecting tight consensus around the central forecast while assigning modest probability to slight model variations that could produce 24°C or 26°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$328結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Ankara on September 15, 2026, most likely in the 24–26°C range, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes of 25°C (52.5%), 24°C (24.5%), and 26°C (17%).**
Current conditions on September 13 show highs near 32–33°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, but a cooling trend is underway as a high-pressure system strengthens and northerly flow advects cooler air. Official and ensemble forecasts (including those from Yr, global models, and local meteorological services) project a daily maximum of 24–26°C on the 15th, with minimums around 10–13°C overnight. September climatology supports this seasonal decline from late-summer peaks, and no significant warm advection, cloud cover changes, or model divergence appears in recent runs to shift the peak outside this narrow band. Traders are therefore pricing the 25°C outcome highest, reflecting tight consensus around the central forecast while assigning modest probability to slight model variations that could produce 24°C or 26°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$328結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET**Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Ankara on September 15, 2026, most likely in the 24–26°C range, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes of 25°C (52.5%), 24°C (24.5%), and 26°C (17%).** Current conditions on September 13 show highs near 32–33°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, but a cooling trend is underway as a high-pressure system strengthens and northerly flow advects cooler air. Official and ensemble forecasts (including those from Yr, global models, and local meteorological services) project a daily maximum of 24–26°C on the 15th, with minimums around 10–13°C overnight. September climatology supports this seasonal decline from late-summer peaks, and no significant warm advection, cloud cover changes, or model divergence appears in recent runs to shift the peak outside this narrow band. Traders are therefore pricing the 25°C outcome highest, reflecting tight consensus around the central forecast while assigning modest probability to slight model variations that could produce 24°C or 26°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data point for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions