Recent official forecasts from meteorological models project a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on September 13 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with late-summer high-pressure conditions before a cooler front arrives. This consensus across sources underpins the market’s strong trader preference for 33°C at 58.5% implied probability and 32°C at 37.5%, reflecting aggregated real-capital assessments of limited upside or downside deviation. Historical September averages near 27°C provide baseline context, while stable model runs over recent days have reinforced these outcomes ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月13日安卡拉的最高溫度？
33°C 59%
32°C 38%
31°C 4%
34°C 4%
最新
$12,180 交易量
最新
$12,180 交易量
2026-09-13
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
38%
33°C
59%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 38%
31°C 4%
34°C 4%
最新
$12,180 交易量
最新
$12,180 交易量
2026-09-13
27°C或以下
$115 交易量
<1%
28°C
$805 交易量
<1%
29°C
$947 交易量
<1%
30°C
$635 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,666 交易量
4%
32°C
$4,143 交易量
38%
33°C
$2,283 交易量
59%
34°C
$1,235 交易量
4%
35°C
$68 交易量
<1%
36°C
$178 交易量
<1%
37°C或以上
$105 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological models project a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on September 13 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with late-summer high-pressure conditions before a cooler front arrives. This consensus across sources underpins the market’s strong trader preference for 33°C at 58.5% implied probability and 32°C at 37.5%, reflecting aggregated real-capital assessments of limited upside or downside deviation. Historical September averages near 27°C provide baseline context, while stable model runs over recent days have reinforced these outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,180結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological models project a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on September 13 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with late-summer high-pressure conditions before a cooler front arrives. This consensus across sources underpins the market’s strong trader preference for 33°C at 58.5% implied probability and 32°C at 37.5%, reflecting aggregated real-capital assessments of limited upside or downside deviation. Historical September averages near 27°C provide baseline context, while stable model runs over recent days have reinforced these outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,180結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from meteorological models project a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on September 13 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with late-summer high-pressure conditions before a cooler front arrives. This consensus across sources underpins the market’s strong trader preference for 33°C at 58.5% implied probability and 32°C at 37.5%, reflecting aggregated real-capital assessments of limited upside or downside deviation. Historical September averages near 27°C provide baseline context, while stable model runs over recent days have reinforced these outcomes ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions