**Current forecast guidance and real-time observations point to clear skies and light winds promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling across Ankara's high-plains location, driving the official minimum on September 13 well into the 9–12 °C range.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs and station data show temperatures falling steadily after sunset, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology where September overnight lows average near 11–14 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus, backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment of model agreement and ongoing surface observations. A realistic challenge would require persistent low-level cloud cover or an unexpected increase in wind mixing that limits cooling, though current conditions make such a shift unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月13日安卡拉最低溫度？
12°C或以下 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$2,523 交易量
$2,523 交易量
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
12°C或以下 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$2,523 交易量
$2,523 交易量
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
$547 交易量
是
13°C
$469 交易量
否
14°C
$267 交易量
否
15°C
$587 交易量
否
16°C
$15 交易量
否
17°C
$311 交易量
否
18°C
$267 交易量
否
19°C
$15 交易量
否
20°C
$15 交易量
否
21°C
$15 交易量
否
22°C或更高
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast guidance and real-time observations point to clear skies and light winds promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling across Ankara's high-plains location, driving the official minimum on September 13 well into the 9–12 °C range.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs and station data show temperatures falling steadily after sunset, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology where September overnight lows average near 11–14 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus, backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment of model agreement and ongoing surface observations. A realistic challenge would require persistent low-level cloud cover or an unexpected increase in wind mixing that limits cooling, though current conditions make such a shift unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,523結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast guidance and real-time observations point to clear skies and light winds promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling across Ankara's high-plains location, driving the official minimum on September 13 well into the 9–12 °C range.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs and station data show temperatures falling steadily after sunset, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology where September overnight lows average near 11–14 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus, backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment of model agreement and ongoing surface observations. A realistic challenge would require persistent low-level cloud cover or an unexpected increase in wind mixing that limits cooling, though current conditions make such a shift unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,523結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
**Current forecast guidance and real-time observations point to clear skies and light winds promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling across Ankara's high-plains location, driving the official minimum on September 13 well into the 9–12 °C range.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs and station data show temperatures falling steadily after sunset, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology where September overnight lows average near 11–14 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus, backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment of model agreement and ongoing surface observations. A realistic challenge would require persistent low-level cloud cover or an unexpected increase in wind mixing that limits cooling, though current conditions make such a shift unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions