Recent forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service point to radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds as the main driver positioning 8°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 15 minimum. Overnight temperatures have tracked toward the lower end of seasonal norms amid stable high pressure, with hourly data showing a steady decline after sunset. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model consensus versus historical September lows near 13°C, though slight upward revisions remain possible if cloud cover increases or if official station readings at Esenboğa or central Ankara report differently. Updated model runs and final 24-hour observations will clarify resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月15日安卡拉最低溫度？
8°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 1.0%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$2,073 交易量
$2,073 交易量
2026-09-15
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
是
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
否
8°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 1.0%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$2,073 交易量
$2,073 交易量
2026-09-15
5°C或以下
$10 交易量
否
6°C
$16 交易量
否
7°C
$154 交易量
否
8°C
$360 交易量
是
9°C
$380 交易量
否
10°C
$395 交易量
否
11°C
$248 交易量
否
12°C
$222 交易量
否
13°C
$26 交易量
否
14°C
$252 交易量
否
15°C或更高
$10 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service point to radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds as the main driver positioning 8°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 15 minimum. Overnight temperatures have tracked toward the lower end of seasonal norms amid stable high pressure, with hourly data showing a steady decline after sunset. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model consensus versus historical September lows near 13°C, though slight upward revisions remain possible if cloud cover increases or if official station readings at Esenboğa or central Ankara report differently. Updated model runs and final 24-hour observations will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,073結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service point to radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds as the main driver positioning 8°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 15 minimum. Overnight temperatures have tracked toward the lower end of seasonal norms amid stable high pressure, with hourly data showing a steady decline after sunset. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model consensus versus historical September lows near 13°C, though slight upward revisions remain possible if cloud cover increases or if official station readings at Esenboğa or central Ankara report differently. Updated model runs and final 24-hour observations will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,073結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service point to radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds as the main driver positioning 8°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 15 minimum. Overnight temperatures have tracked toward the lower end of seasonal norms amid stable high pressure, with hourly data showing a steady decline after sunset. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model consensus versus historical September lows near 13°C, though slight upward revisions remain possible if cloud cover increases or if official station readings at Esenboğa or central Ankara report differently. Updated model runs and final 24-hour observations will clarify resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions