Forecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources indicate showers and thunderstorms developing over Ankara on September 22, driven by a passing frontal system that increases cloud cover and reduces solar heating during peak afternoon hours. This instability, combined with southwesterly winds and moderate humidity, supports daytime maxima clustered around 23–25°C, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities on 24°C and 25°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short forecast horizon, though small variations in timing or intensity of precipitation could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical September climatology places typical highs near 24–26°C, but the expected rain lowers the ceiling relative to clearer days earlier in the week. Updated model runs and official briefings on the 21st will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月22日安卡拉的最高溫度？
24°C 37%
25°C 30%
23°C 19%
26°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
19%
24°C
37%
25°C
30%
26°C
12%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 37%
25°C 30%
23°C 19%
26°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
20°C或以下
$903 交易量
2%
21°C
$94 交易量
2%
22°C
$97 交易量
6%
23°C
$549 交易量
19%
24°C
$299 交易量
37%
25°C
$1,167 交易量
30%
26°C
$581 交易量
12%
27°C
$103 交易量
1%
28°C
$125 交易量
1%
29°C
$295 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$295 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources indicate showers and thunderstorms developing over Ankara on September 22, driven by a passing frontal system that increases cloud cover and reduces solar heating during peak afternoon hours. This instability, combined with southwesterly winds and moderate humidity, supports daytime maxima clustered around 23–25°C, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities on 24°C and 25°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short forecast horizon, though small variations in timing or intensity of precipitation could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical September climatology places typical highs near 24–26°C, but the expected rain lowers the ceiling relative to clearer days earlier in the week. Updated model runs and official briefings on the 21st will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,507結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources indicate showers and thunderstorms developing over Ankara on September 22, driven by a passing frontal system that increases cloud cover and reduces solar heating during peak afternoon hours. This instability, combined with southwesterly winds and moderate humidity, supports daytime maxima clustered around 23–25°C, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities on 24°C and 25°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short forecast horizon, though small variations in timing or intensity of precipitation could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical September climatology places typical highs near 24–26°C, but the expected rain lowers the ceiling relative to clearer days earlier in the week. Updated model runs and official briefings on the 21st will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,507結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources indicate showers and thunderstorms developing over Ankara on September 22, driven by a passing frontal system that increases cloud cover and reduces solar heating during peak afternoon hours. This instability, combined with southwesterly winds and moderate humidity, supports daytime maxima clustered around 23–25°C, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities on 24°C and 25°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short forecast horizon, though small variations in timing or intensity of precipitation could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical September climatology places typical highs near 24–26°C, but the expected rain lowers the ceiling relative to clearer days earlier in the week. Updated model runs and official briefings on the 21st will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions