Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an overnight low in Ankara near 13–14°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting the closely matched market odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points near 10–12°C and minimal cloud cover, limits further drops while preventing sharp warming before dawn. Historical September averages for the region hover around 12–14°C lows, but recent model runs show slightly milder conditions due to a stable high-pressure pattern. Traders appear focused on the precise minimum recorded at official stations like LTAC, where small variations in timing or microclimate could shift the outcome between 13°C and 14°C. Updated observations through the night will likely refine probabilities ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日安卡拉的最低溫度？
9月21日安卡拉的最低溫度？
10°C或以下 100%
11°C 90%
12°C 90%
14°C 51%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
100%
11°C
90%
12°C
90%
13°C
51%
14°C
51%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
10°C或以下 100%
11°C 90%
12°C 90%
14°C 51%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
11°C
$0 交易量
90%
12°C
$25 交易量
90%
13°C
$0 交易量
51%
14°C
$0 交易量
51%
15°C
$15 交易量
<1%
16°C
$15 交易量
<1%
17°C
$15 交易量
<1%
18°C
$15 交易量
<1%
19°C
$565 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$1,189 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an overnight low in Ankara near 13–14°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting the closely matched market odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points near 10–12°C and minimal cloud cover, limits further drops while preventing sharp warming before dawn. Historical September averages for the region hover around 12–14°C lows, but recent model runs show slightly milder conditions due to a stable high-pressure pattern. Traders appear focused on the precise minimum recorded at official stations like LTAC, where small variations in timing or microclimate could shift the outcome between 13°C and 14°C. Updated observations through the night will likely refine probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,839結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an overnight low in Ankara near 13–14°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting the closely matched market odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points near 10–12°C and minimal cloud cover, limits further drops while preventing sharp warming before dawn. Historical September averages for the region hover around 12–14°C lows, but recent model runs show slightly milder conditions due to a stable high-pressure pattern. Traders appear focused on the precise minimum recorded at official stations like LTAC, where small variations in timing or microclimate could shift the outcome between 13°C and 14°C. Updated observations through the night will likely refine probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,839結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an overnight low in Ankara near 13–14°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting the closely matched market odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points near 10–12°C and minimal cloud cover, limits further drops while preventing sharp warming before dawn. Historical September averages for the region hover around 12–14°C lows, but recent model runs show slightly milder conditions due to a stable high-pressure pattern. Traders appear focused on the precise minimum recorded at official stations like LTAC, where small variations in timing or microclimate could shift the outcome between 13°C and 14°C. Updated observations through the night will likely refine probabilities ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions