**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 14 stabilizing near 13°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity near 90%, consistent with mild maritime air and no significant radiative cooling or frontal passage.** This aligns with trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for a 13°C low, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of official station data (typically Schiphol) and historical September patterns where daily lows average around 11°C but recent conditions have run warmer. Uncertainties remain in exact timing of the minimum and localized variations, yet model agreement and late-day observations support the narrow range, with only rare deviations possible from unexpected clear-sky intensification or measurement adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
9月14日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
13°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,231 交易量
$1,231 交易量
2026-09-14
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
13°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,231 交易量
$1,231 交易量
2026-09-14
7°C或以下
$14 交易量
否
8°C
$0 交易量
否
9°C
$16 交易量
否
10°C
$54 交易量
否
11°C
$102 交易量
否
12°C
$189 交易量
否
13°C
$227 交易量
是
14°C
$336 交易量
否
15°C
$153 交易量
否
16°C
$120 交易量
否
17°C或以上
$20 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 14 stabilizing near 13°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity near 90%, consistent with mild maritime air and no significant radiative cooling or frontal passage.** This aligns with trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for a 13°C low, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of official station data (typically Schiphol) and historical September patterns where daily lows average around 11°C but recent conditions have run warmer. Uncertainties remain in exact timing of the minimum and localized variations, yet model agreement and late-day observations support the narrow range, with only rare deviations possible from unexpected clear-sky intensification or measurement adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,231結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 14 stabilizing near 13°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity near 90%, consistent with mild maritime air and no significant radiative cooling or frontal passage.** This aligns with trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for a 13°C low, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of official station data (typically Schiphol) and historical September patterns where daily lows average around 11°C but recent conditions have run warmer. Uncertainties remain in exact timing of the minimum and localized variations, yet model agreement and late-day observations support the narrow range, with only rare deviations possible from unexpected clear-sky intensification or measurement adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,231結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 14 stabilizing near 13°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and high humidity near 90%, consistent with mild maritime air and no significant radiative cooling or frontal passage.** This aligns with trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for a 13°C low, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of official station data (typically Schiphol) and historical September patterns where daily lows average around 11°C but recent conditions have run warmer. Uncertainties remain in exact timing of the minimum and localized variations, yet model agreement and late-day observations support the narrow range, with only rare deviations possible from unexpected clear-sky intensification or measurement adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions