**Trader consensus has converged on 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded at Incheon International Airport on September 15, 2026, reflecting near-certainty in official forecasts and early observations.** Clear skies under high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and typical mid-September radiative cooling overnight produced a minimum near 15–16°C, consistent with National Meteorological Agency guidance and model runs showing stable conditions without significant advection of warmer or colder air masses. Historical September lows for the region average around 17°C, making this reading slightly below seasonal norms but well within expected variability. Any deviation would require unforecasted cloud cover, stronger winds, or measurement adjustments at the official station, none of which appear likely given the settled pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日首爾(仁川)最低溫度?
16°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$9,895 交易量
$9,895 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
16°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$9,895 交易量
$9,895 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has converged on 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded at Incheon International Airport on September 15, 2026, reflecting near-certainty in official forecasts and early observations.** Clear skies under high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and typical mid-September radiative cooling overnight produced a minimum near 15–16°C, consistent with National Meteorological Agency guidance and model runs showing stable conditions without significant advection of warmer or colder air masses. Historical September lows for the region average around 17°C, making this reading slightly below seasonal norms but well within expected variability. Any deviation would require unforecasted cloud cover, stronger winds, or measurement adjustments at the official station, none of which appear likely given the settled pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions