**Current forecast consensus from meteorological models and station observations supports a minimum air temperature of 13°C in Beijing on September 14, 2026, under clear skies that promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling.** Light southerly winds and low humidity (around 30-40%) have allowed surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for this exact threshold. This outcome sits below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal conditions driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Official resolution will depend on verified station readings meeting precise criteria for the daily minimum. Shifts in cloud cover or increased wind speeds overnight remain the main variables that could raise the low by 1–2°C and alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日北京最低溫度？
9月14日北京最低溫度？
13°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$1,748 交易量
$1,748 交易量
2026-09-14
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或以上
否
13°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$1,748 交易量
$1,748 交易量
2026-09-14
9°C或以下
$342 交易量
否
10°C
$0 交易量
否
11°C
$60 交易量
否
12°C
$81 交易量
否
13°C
$200 交易量
是
14°C
$256 交易量
否
15°C
$131 交易量
否
16°C
$116 交易量
否
17°C
$181 交易量
否
18°C
$381 交易量
否
19°C或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from meteorological models and station observations supports a minimum air temperature of 13°C in Beijing on September 14, 2026, under clear skies that promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling.** Light southerly winds and low humidity (around 30-40%) have allowed surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for this exact threshold. This outcome sits below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal conditions driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Official resolution will depend on verified station readings meeting precise criteria for the daily minimum. Shifts in cloud cover or increased wind speeds overnight remain the main variables that could raise the low by 1–2°C and alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,748結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from meteorological models and station observations supports a minimum air temperature of 13°C in Beijing on September 14, 2026, under clear skies that promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling.** Light southerly winds and low humidity (around 30-40%) have allowed surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for this exact threshold. This outcome sits below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal conditions driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Official resolution will depend on verified station readings meeting precise criteria for the daily minimum. Shifts in cloud cover or increased wind speeds overnight remain the main variables that could raise the low by 1–2°C and alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,748結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Current forecast consensus from meteorological models and station observations supports a minimum air temperature of 13°C in Beijing on September 14, 2026, under clear skies that promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling.** Light southerly winds and low humidity (around 30-40%) have allowed surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for this exact threshold. This outcome sits below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C, reflecting cooler-than-normal conditions driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Official resolution will depend on verified station readings meeting precise criteria for the daily minimum. Shifts in cloud cover or increased wind speeds overnight remain the main variables that could raise the low by 1–2°C and alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions