Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions over western Luzon, including Metro Manila, are sustaining high humidity near 80-95% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest temperature tightly clustered near historical September averages of 25-27°C. Localized thunderstorms and light variable winds further moderate overnight drops by trapping heat and moisture, while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 24°C. PAGASA monitoring shows no major tropical cyclone influence or sharp frontal shifts as of September 20, leaving traders pricing similar implied probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes amid forecast model consensus on stable but variable convective activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日馬尼拉的最低溫度?
21°C或以下 90%
25°C 47%
24°C 20%
23°C 6%
21°C或以下
90%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
20%
25°C
47%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
21°C或以下 90%
25°C 47%
24°C 20%
23°C 6%
21°C或以下
90%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
20%
25°C
47%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions over western Luzon, including Metro Manila, are sustaining high humidity near 80-95% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest temperature tightly clustered near historical September averages of 25-27°C. Localized thunderstorms and light variable winds further moderate overnight drops by trapping heat and moisture, while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 24°C. PAGASA monitoring shows no major tropical cyclone influence or sharp frontal shifts as of September 20, leaving traders pricing similar implied probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes amid forecast model consensus on stable but variable convective activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions