Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town minimum temperatures on September 23 likely ranging 14–16°C, driven by southeasterly winds and mostly cloudy conditions moderating overnight cooling under high pressure. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable steering patterns and potential weak frontal influences, with historical September minima averaging near 10°C but recent observations trending milder. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-11°C and above-21°C outcomes reflects model divergence on whether localized radiative cooling or warmer advection will dominate the overnight period, with updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service expected to narrow resolution criteria before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日開普敦最低溫度？
9月23日開普敦最低溫度？
11°C或以下 99%
21°C或更高 98%
15°C 40%
12°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
11°C或以下
99%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
21%
17°C
20%
18°C
39%
19°C
8%
20°C
39%
21°C或更高
98%
11°C或以下 99%
21°C或更高 98%
15°C 40%
12°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
99%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
20%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
8%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town minimum temperatures on September 23 likely ranging 14–16°C, driven by southeasterly winds and mostly cloudy conditions moderating overnight cooling under high pressure. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable steering patterns and potential weak frontal influences, with historical September minima averaging near 10°C but recent observations trending milder. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-11°C and above-21°C outcomes reflects model divergence on whether localized radiative cooling or warmer advection will dominate the overnight period, with updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service expected to narrow resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town minimum temperatures on September 23 likely ranging 14–16°C, driven by southeasterly winds and mostly cloudy conditions moderating overnight cooling under high pressure. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable steering patterns and potential weak frontal influences, with historical September minima averaging near 10°C but recent observations trending milder. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-11°C and above-21°C outcomes reflects model divergence on whether localized radiative cooling or warmer advection will dominate the overnight period, with updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service expected to narrow resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town minimum temperatures on September 23 likely ranging 14–16°C, driven by southeasterly winds and mostly cloudy conditions moderating overnight cooling under high pressure. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable steering patterns and potential weak frontal influences, with historical September minima averaging near 10°C but recent observations trending milder. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-11°C and above-21°C outcomes reflects model divergence on whether localized radiative cooling or warmer advection will dominate the overnight period, with updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service expected to narrow resolution criteria before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions