Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on September 22, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light variable winds shifting from southeast to northwest, and mild advection of warmer air masses typical of early spring in the region. This places the outcome between the market’s closely matched leading bins of 12°C or below (44.0% implied) and 22°C or higher (43.5% implied), reflecting model spread on overnight cloud cover and local topographic effects around Table Mountain that can alter radiative cooling rates. Historical September minima average near 12°C, but recent above-normal temperatures and stable high pressure have supported warmer nights, leaving resolution sensitive to the final evening forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日開普敦最低溫度？
9月22日開普敦最低溫度？
12°C或以下 87%
22°C或以上 87%
14°C 39%
16°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
12°C或以下
87%
13°C
18%
14°C
39%
15°C
35%
16°C
39%
17°C
23%
18°C
25%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
8%
22°C或以上
87%
12°C或以下 87%
22°C或以上 87%
14°C 39%
16°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
87%
13°C
$0 交易量
18%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
35%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
23%
18°C
$0 交易量
25%
19°C
$0 交易量
21%
20°C
$0 交易量
21%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on September 22, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light variable winds shifting from southeast to northwest, and mild advection of warmer air masses typical of early spring in the region. This places the outcome between the market’s closely matched leading bins of 12°C or below (44.0% implied) and 22°C or higher (43.5% implied), reflecting model spread on overnight cloud cover and local topographic effects around Table Mountain that can alter radiative cooling rates. Historical September minima average near 12°C, but recent above-normal temperatures and stable high pressure have supported warmer nights, leaving resolution sensitive to the final evening forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on September 22, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light variable winds shifting from southeast to northwest, and mild advection of warmer air masses typical of early spring in the region. This places the outcome between the market’s closely matched leading bins of 12°C or below (44.0% implied) and 22°C or higher (43.5% implied), reflecting model spread on overnight cloud cover and local topographic effects around Table Mountain that can alter radiative cooling rates. Historical September minima average near 12°C, but recent above-normal temperatures and stable high pressure have supported warmer nights, leaving resolution sensitive to the final evening forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on September 22, driven by partly cloudy conditions, light variable winds shifting from southeast to northwest, and mild advection of warmer air masses typical of early spring in the region. This places the outcome between the market’s closely matched leading bins of 12°C or below (44.0% implied) and 22°C or higher (43.5% implied), reflecting model spread on overnight cloud cover and local topographic effects around Table Mountain that can alter radiative cooling rates. Historical September minima average near 12°C, but recent above-normal temperatures and stable high pressure have supported warmer nights, leaving resolution sensitive to the final evening forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions