Current forecasts for Busan point to a daily minimum near 19°C on September 23 under building high pressure, light northeast winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that favor moderate radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains split between a cold outcome (12°C or below) and a warm one (22°C or higher) because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or residual warm advection from the south can swing the low by several degrees either way. Historical September averages place overnight lows around 19°C, so the market-implied odds capture genuine uncertainty in how quickly autumn cooling will assert itself versus lingering late-summer warmth. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日釜山最低溫度?
12°C或以下 100%
22°C或以上 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
12°C或以下
100%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C或以上
98%
12°C或以下 100%
22°C或以上 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
12°C或以下
100%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C或以上
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Busan point to a daily minimum near 19°C on September 23 under building high pressure, light northeast winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that favor moderate radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains split between a cold outcome (12°C or below) and a warm one (22°C or higher) because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or residual warm advection from the south can swing the low by several degrees either way. Historical September averages place overnight lows around 19°C, so the market-implied odds capture genuine uncertainty in how quickly autumn cooling will assert itself versus lingering late-summer warmth. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions