Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Wuhan on September 23, shaped by overnight cloud cover, light rain chances from a passing frontal system, and moderate humidity levels around 70-85%. These conditions typically suppress radiative cooling compared to clear, dry nights. The closely matched 50% market-implied odds on extremes below 16°C or at/above 26°C reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies will likely refine the range between the 17-25°C bins currently priced at 20% each.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日武漢最低氣溫？
9月23日武漢最低氣溫？
16°C或以下 100%
26°C或以上 98%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
16°C或以下
100%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
29%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C或以上
98%
16°C或以下 100%
26°C或以上 98%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C
$0 交易量
40%
22°C
$0 交易量
29%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C或以上
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Wuhan on September 23, shaped by overnight cloud cover, light rain chances from a passing frontal system, and moderate humidity levels around 70-85%. These conditions typically suppress radiative cooling compared to clear, dry nights. The closely matched 50% market-implied odds on extremes below 16°C or at/above 26°C reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies will likely refine the range between the 17-25°C bins currently priced at 20% each.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Wuhan on September 23, shaped by overnight cloud cover, light rain chances from a passing frontal system, and moderate humidity levels around 70-85%. These conditions typically suppress radiative cooling compared to clear, dry nights. The closely matched 50% market-implied odds on extremes below 16°C or at/above 26°C reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies will likely refine the range between the 17-25°C bins currently priced at 20% each.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Wuhan on September 23, shaped by overnight cloud cover, light rain chances from a passing frontal system, and moderate humidity levels around 70-85%. These conditions typically suppress radiative cooling compared to clear, dry nights. The closely matched 50% market-implied odds on extremes below 16°C or at/above 26°C reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies will likely refine the range between the 17-25°C bins currently priced at 20% each.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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