Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 23 show considerable spread in overnight minimum temperatures due to variable cloud cover, intermittent showers, and limited radiative cooling under subtropical humidity levels near 70-80%. Recent shifts from clear, hot conditions to increased cloudiness and scattered thunderstorms have introduced uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal temperature ranges, with some guidance projecting lows near 24-26°C while others allow for greater nocturnal cooling toward the low 20s. These factors explain the near-even trader consensus between the ≤22°C and ≥32°C outcomes, as small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns could tip the daily minimum. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from regional agencies will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日深圳最低溫度？
9月23日深圳最低溫度？
22°C或以下 100%
32°C或更高 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
22°C或以下
100%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
25%
28°C
38%
29°C
8%
30°C
38%
31°C
38%
32°C或更高
98%
22°C或以下 100%
32°C或更高 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
23°C
$0 交易量
38%
24°C
$0 交易量
38%
25°C
$0 交易量
40%
26°C
$0 交易量
40%
27°C
$0 交易量
25%
28°C
$0 交易量
38%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
38%
31°C
$0 交易量
38%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 23 show considerable spread in overnight minimum temperatures due to variable cloud cover, intermittent showers, and limited radiative cooling under subtropical humidity levels near 70-80%. Recent shifts from clear, hot conditions to increased cloudiness and scattered thunderstorms have introduced uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal temperature ranges, with some guidance projecting lows near 24-26°C while others allow for greater nocturnal cooling toward the low 20s. These factors explain the near-even trader consensus between the ≤22°C and ≥32°C outcomes, as small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns could tip the daily minimum. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from regional agencies will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 23 show considerable spread in overnight minimum temperatures due to variable cloud cover, intermittent showers, and limited radiative cooling under subtropical humidity levels near 70-80%. Recent shifts from clear, hot conditions to increased cloudiness and scattered thunderstorms have introduced uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal temperature ranges, with some guidance projecting lows near 24-26°C while others allow for greater nocturnal cooling toward the low 20s. These factors explain the near-even trader consensus between the ≤22°C and ≥32°C outcomes, as small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns could tip the daily minimum. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from regional agencies will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models for Shenzhen on September 23 show considerable spread in overnight minimum temperatures due to variable cloud cover, intermittent showers, and limited radiative cooling under subtropical humidity levels near 70-80%. Recent shifts from clear, hot conditions to increased cloudiness and scattered thunderstorms have introduced uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal temperature ranges, with some guidance projecting lows near 24-26°C while others allow for greater nocturnal cooling toward the low 20s. These factors explain the near-even trader consensus between the ≤22°C and ≥32°C outcomes, as small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns could tip the daily minimum. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from regional agencies will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions