Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 19°C in Beijing on September 16 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This positioning stems from persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, which moderates the overnight drop compared to climatological averages around 16°C. Trader consensus clusters on 15–16°C outcomes because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, or minor cloud increases can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs before midnight local time will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日北京最低溫度？
9月16日北京最低溫度？
21°C或更高 86%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
16°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
3%
12°C
16%
13°C
22%
14°C
23%
15°C
29%
16°C
30%
17°C
22%
18°C
4%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C或更高
86%
21°C或更高 86%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
16°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
12°C
$0 交易量
16%
13°C
$0 交易量
22%
14°C
$0 交易量
23%
15°C
$0 交易量
29%
16°C
$0 交易量
30%
17°C
$0 交易量
22%
18°C
$45 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 19°C in Beijing on September 16 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This positioning stems from persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, which moderates the overnight drop compared to climatological averages around 16°C. Trader consensus clusters on 15–16°C outcomes because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, or minor cloud increases can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs before midnight local time will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$45結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 19°C in Beijing on September 16 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This positioning stems from persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, which moderates the overnight drop compared to climatological averages around 16°C. Trader consensus clusters on 15–16°C outcomes because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, or minor cloud increases can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs before midnight local time will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 19°C in Beijing on September 16 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This positioning stems from persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, which moderates the overnight drop compared to climatological averages around 16°C. Trader consensus clusters on 15–16°C outcomes because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, or minor cloud increases can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs before midnight local time will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions