Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to overnight lows in the lower to mid-50s°F for Seattle on August 30, shaped by residual cooling from a departing upper-level low, increasing onshore flow, and variable marine-layer stratus that limits radiational cooling. Forecast discussions highlight mid-40s to lower-50s potential in clearer valleys versus mid-50s under clouds, creating tight differentiation among the leading 52–53°F, 54–55°F, and 56–57°F bins. Historical August climatology (average low near 55.5°F) and the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keep probabilities clustered in this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest short-range model consensus and local mesonet observations ahead of the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日西雅圖的最低溫度?
52-53°F 44%
54-55°F 35%
56-57°F 27%
50-51°F 12%
華氏45度或以下
3%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
8%
50-51°F
12%
52-53°F
44%
54-55°F
35%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
4%
華氏64度或更高
7%
52-53°F 44%
54-55°F 35%
56-57°F 27%
50-51°F 12%
華氏45度或以下
3%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
8%
50-51°F
12%
52-53°F
44%
54-55°F
35%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
4%
華氏64度或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to overnight lows in the lower to mid-50s°F for Seattle on August 30, shaped by residual cooling from a departing upper-level low, increasing onshore flow, and variable marine-layer stratus that limits radiational cooling. Forecast discussions highlight mid-40s to lower-50s potential in clearer valleys versus mid-50s under clouds, creating tight differentiation among the leading 52–53°F, 54–55°F, and 56–57°F bins. Historical August climatology (average low near 55.5°F) and the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keep probabilities clustered in this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest short-range model consensus and local mesonet observations ahead of the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions