Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions and a high near 78°F for Chicago on June 20, 2026, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the market leader. This aligns with model consensus from short-range guidance showing modest warming under northwest flow and limited moisture, just below the late-June climatological normal of roughly 82°F. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 76-81°F because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk from stronger daytime heating if cloud cover decreases further. Key upcoming updates include the next NWS forecast discussions and any revisions to boundary-layer temperatures ahead of the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月20日芝加哥的最高溫度?
78-79°F 44%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 22%
82-83°F 7%
$10,609 交易量
$10,609 交易量
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 44%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 22%
82-83°F 7%
$10,609 交易量
$10,609 交易量
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions and a high near 78°F for Chicago on June 20, 2026, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the market leader. This aligns with model consensus from short-range guidance showing modest warming under northwest flow and limited moisture, just below the late-June climatological normal of roughly 82°F. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 76-81°F because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk from stronger daytime heating if cloud cover decreases further. Key upcoming updates include the next NWS forecast discussions and any revisions to boundary-layer temperatures ahead of the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions