**Trader consensus centers on 34°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on June 21, reflecting official forecast models showing typical early-summer coastal conditions.** AccuWeather and Weatherspark data place expected daily highs near 33–35°C, consistent with Karachi’s June climatology of roughly 34°C average maxima. The city’s Arabian Sea location drives persistent sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite high humidity, while pre-monsoon steering patterns and recent model runs show no strong heat-wave setup for the 21st. Probability mass clusters at 34–35°C because these values align with both historical baselines and current guidance; outcomes above 36°C or below 33°C receive lower weight absent signals of anomalous warming or enhanced marine cooling. Updated NHC/PMD guidance and the next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月21日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
34°C 45%
35°C 34%
36°C 12%
33°C 9%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
45%
35°C
34%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C或更高
1%
34°C 45%
35°C 34%
36°C 12%
33°C 9%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
45%
35°C
34%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 19, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus centers on 34°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on June 21, reflecting official forecast models showing typical early-summer coastal conditions.** AccuWeather and Weatherspark data place expected daily highs near 33–35°C, consistent with Karachi’s June climatology of roughly 34°C average maxima. The city’s Arabian Sea location drives persistent sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite high humidity, while pre-monsoon steering patterns and recent model runs show no strong heat-wave setup for the 21st. Probability mass clusters at 34–35°C because these values align with both historical baselines and current guidance; outcomes above 36°C or below 33°C receive lower weight absent signals of anomalous warming or enhanced marine cooling. Updated NHC/PMD guidance and the next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions