Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate an ongoing heatwave across Île-de-France will produce elevated overnight lows near 19–22°C for Paris on June 21, driven by high daytime maxima near 37°C, mostly clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds across 19°C-or-below through 22°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, including potential variations in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. Historical June minima average around 12–14°C, but the anomalous warmth this week has shifted trader consensus toward milder outcomes while acknowledging that any late-model cooling or increased cloud cover could still alter the final recorded low before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月21日巴黎最低溫度？
6月21日巴黎最低溫度？
21°C 30%
22°C 16%
23°C 13%
19°C或以下 10.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
19°C或以下
11%
20°C
8%
21°C
30%
22°C
16%
23°C
13%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
21°C 30%
22°C 16%
23°C 13%
19°C或以下 10.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
19°C或以下
$281 交易量
11%
20°C
$49 交易量
8%
21°C
$58 交易量
30%
22°C
$259 交易量
16%
23°C
$47 交易量
13%
24°C
$36 交易量
4%
25°C
$136 交易量
1%
26°C
$70 交易量
<1%
27°C
$320 交易量
<1%
28°C
$315 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$145 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate an ongoing heatwave across Île-de-France will produce elevated overnight lows near 19–22°C for Paris on June 21, driven by high daytime maxima near 37°C, mostly clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds across 19°C-or-below through 22°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, including potential variations in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. Historical June minima average around 12–14°C, but the anomalous warmth this week has shifted trader consensus toward milder outcomes while acknowledging that any late-model cooling or increased cloud cover could still alter the final recorded low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,717結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate an ongoing heatwave across Île-de-France will produce elevated overnight lows near 19–22°C for Paris on June 21, driven by high daytime maxima near 37°C, mostly clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds across 19°C-or-below through 22°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, including potential variations in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. Historical June minima average around 12–14°C, but the anomalous warmth this week has shifted trader consensus toward milder outcomes while acknowledging that any late-model cooling or increased cloud cover could still alter the final recorded low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,717結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate an ongoing heatwave across Île-de-France will produce elevated overnight lows near 19–22°C for Paris on June 21, driven by high daytime maxima near 37°C, mostly clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds across 19°C-or-below through 22°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, including potential variations in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. Historical June minima average around 12–14°C, but the anomalous warmth this week has shifted trader consensus toward milder outcomes while acknowledging that any late-model cooling or increased cloud cover could still alter the final recorded low before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions