Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service place the highest probability on afternoon maxima of 25–27°C for Istanbul on June 21, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered in that range. Mid-June climatology shows typical highs near 25°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover, with sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing thermal moderation that limits extreme excursions. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variable, as shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these official guidance runs heavily ahead of resolution, acknowledging the inherent spread in high-resolution forecasts near coastal urban stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 21?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 21?
26°C 35%
25°C 31%
27°C 15%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
31%
26°C
35%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 31%
27°C 15%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
21°C or below
$809 交易量
<1%
22°C
$145 交易量
1%
23°C
$21 交易量
5%
24°C
$257 交易量
14%
25°C
$153 交易量
31%
26°C
$101 交易量
35%
27°C
$12 交易量
15%
28°C
$49 交易量
5%
29°C
$58 交易量
2%
30°C
$57 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$254 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service place the highest probability on afternoon maxima of 25–27°C for Istanbul on June 21, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered in that range. Mid-June climatology shows typical highs near 25°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover, with sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing thermal moderation that limits extreme excursions. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variable, as shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these official guidance runs heavily ahead of resolution, acknowledging the inherent spread in high-resolution forecasts near coastal urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$1,915結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service place the highest probability on afternoon maxima of 25–27°C for Istanbul on June 21, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered in that range. Mid-June climatology shows typical highs near 25°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover, with sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing thermal moderation that limits extreme excursions. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variable, as shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these official guidance runs heavily ahead of resolution, acknowledging the inherent spread in high-resolution forecasts near coastal urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,915結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service place the highest probability on afternoon maxima of 25–27°C for Istanbul on June 21, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered in that range. Mid-June climatology shows typical highs near 25°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover, with sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing thermal moderation that limits extreme excursions. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variable, as shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these official guidance runs heavily ahead of resolution, acknowledging the inherent spread in high-resolution forecasts near coastal urban stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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