Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
30°C 29%
31°C 26%
28°C 14%
29°C 14%
最新
$16,457 交易量
最新
$16,457 交易量
2026-06-19
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
14%
30°C
29%
31°C
26%
32°C
13%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 29%
31°C 26%
28°C 14%
29°C 14%
最新
$16,457 交易量
最新
$16,457 交易量
2026-06-19
24°C or below
$2,554 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,438 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,712 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,987 交易量
4%
28°C
$2,288 交易量
14%
29°C
$1,473 交易量
14%
30°C
$909 交易量
29%
31°C
$724 交易量
26%
32°C
$720 交易量
13%
33°C
$341 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$311 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
交易量
$16,457結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,457結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ETForecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Shanghai high near 30–31°C on June 19, 2026, amid the East Asian monsoon’s mei-yu (plum rain) regime, which sustains cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. Early June warmth across the Yangtze River Delta has lifted baselines above the 27–30°C climatological average, yet persistent moisture and variable steering patterns create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective cells, directly supporting the closely matched market-implied odds at 29% and 25.5% while keeping 28°C and 32°C viable depending on exact rainfall timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions