**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s June 17 high near 68°F under a classic marine-layer regime, with morning low clouds gradually yielding to afternoon sun and moderate onshore westerly flow.** This pattern aligns with June climatology along the immediate coast, where the cold California Current and persistent stratus cap daytime warming. The market’s heaviest positioning on 70-71°F (45%) and 72-73°F (31%) reflects trader assessment that slightly stronger solar heating or a modest reduction in cloud cover could add a couple of degrees once the marine layer thins, while the 27.5% on 68-69°F captures the risk that thicker stratus lingers. Official model guidance and recent hourly observations show limited warming potential today, keeping probabilities for 74°F+ below 8% and reinforcing the narrow 68-73°F window as the most likely resolution range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 17?
70-71°F 59%
72-73°F 44%
68-69°F 39%
74-75°F 4.9%
$63,457 交易量
$63,457 交易量
2026-06-17
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 59%
72-73°F 44%
68-69°F 39%
74-75°F 4.9%
$63,457 交易量
$63,457 交易量
2026-06-17
63°F or below
$7,546 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$11,214 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$7,059 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$7,544 交易量
27%
70-71°F
$4,442 交易量
46%
72-73°F
$6,099 交易量
31%
74-75°F
$4,752 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$5,807 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$2,434 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$2,021 交易量
<1%
82°F or higher
$4,541 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s June 17 high near 68°F under a classic marine-layer regime, with morning low clouds gradually yielding to afternoon sun and moderate onshore westerly flow.** This pattern aligns with June climatology along the immediate coast, where the cold California Current and persistent stratus cap daytime warming. The market’s heaviest positioning on 70-71°F (45%) and 72-73°F (31%) reflects trader assessment that slightly stronger solar heating or a modest reduction in cloud cover could add a couple of degrees once the marine layer thins, while the 27.5% on 68-69°F captures the risk that thicker stratus lingers. Official model guidance and recent hourly observations show limited warming potential today, keeping probabilities for 74°F+ below 8% and reinforcing the narrow 68-73°F window as the most likely resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$63,457結束日期
2026-06-17市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s June 17 high near 68°F under a classic marine-layer regime, with morning low clouds gradually yielding to afternoon sun and moderate onshore westerly flow.** This pattern aligns with June climatology along the immediate coast, where the cold California Current and persistent stratus cap daytime warming. The market’s heaviest positioning on 70-71°F (45%) and 72-73°F (31%) reflects trader assessment that slightly stronger solar heating or a modest reduction in cloud cover could add a couple of degrees once the marine layer thins, while the 27.5% on 68-69°F captures the risk that thicker stratus lingers. Official model guidance and recent hourly observations show limited warming potential today, keeping probabilities for 74°F+ below 8% and reinforcing the narrow 68-73°F window as the most likely resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$63,457結束日期
2026-06-17市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s June 17 high near 68°F under a classic marine-layer regime, with morning low clouds gradually yielding to afternoon sun and moderate onshore westerly flow.** This pattern aligns with June climatology along the immediate coast, where the cold California Current and persistent stratus cap daytime warming. The market’s heaviest positioning on 70-71°F (45%) and 72-73°F (31%) reflects trader assessment that slightly stronger solar heating or a modest reduction in cloud cover could add a couple of degrees once the marine layer thins, while the 27.5% on 68-69°F captures the risk that thicker stratus lingers. Official model guidance and recent hourly observations show limited warming potential today, keeping probabilities for 74°F+ below 8% and reinforcing the narrow 68-73°F window as the most likely resolution range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions