Recent forecast updates from global models show a stable subtropical ridge over the Hejaz region supporting daily highs near 37–38 °C for Jeddah on June 19, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create comparable probabilities for 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty from Red Sea moisture advection and localized sea-breeze effects that can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance of above-normal June temperatures aligns with this range, while the absence of major synoptic changes keeps longer-tail outcomes below 15 %. Fresh model runs expected within 24 hours ahead of resolution will likely refine the final distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 19?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 19?
38°C 33%
37°C 23%
39°C 21%
40°C or higher 17%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
5%
37°C
23%
38°C
33%
39°C
21%
40°C or higher
17%
38°C 33%
37°C 23%
39°C 21%
40°C or higher 17%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
30°C or below
$129 交易量
<1%
31°C
$76 交易量
<1%
32°C
$72 交易量
<1%
33°C
$136 交易量
<1%
34°C
$39 交易量
1%
35°C
$119 交易量
2%
36°C
$475 交易量
5%
37°C
$625 交易量
23%
38°C
$665 交易量
33%
39°C
$254 交易量
21%
40°C or higher
$563 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global models show a stable subtropical ridge over the Hejaz region supporting daily highs near 37–38 °C for Jeddah on June 19, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create comparable probabilities for 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty from Red Sea moisture advection and localized sea-breeze effects that can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance of above-normal June temperatures aligns with this range, while the absence of major synoptic changes keeps longer-tail outcomes below 15 %. Fresh model runs expected within 24 hours ahead of resolution will likely refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 17, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,153結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 2:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global models show a stable subtropical ridge over the Hejaz region supporting daily highs near 37–38 °C for Jeddah on June 19, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create comparable probabilities for 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty from Red Sea moisture advection and localized sea-breeze effects that can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance of above-normal June temperatures aligns with this range, while the absence of major synoptic changes keeps longer-tail outcomes below 15 %. Fresh model runs expected within 24 hours ahead of resolution will likely refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,153結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 2:03 AM ETRecent forecast updates from global models show a stable subtropical ridge over the Hejaz region supporting daily highs near 37–38 °C for Jeddah on June 19, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create comparable probabilities for 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty from Red Sea moisture advection and localized sea-breeze effects that can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance of above-normal June temperatures aligns with this range, while the absence of major synoptic changes keeps longer-tail outcomes below 15 %. Fresh model runs expected within 24 hours ahead of resolution will likely refine the final distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions