Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago on June 17, driven by northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, with official guidance centering on a high near 73°F at Midway Airport. Trader consensus favoring 64–69°F ranges reflects model runs emphasizing stronger lake-effect moderation and a lingering frontal boundary that could suppress peak readings below seasonal normals of 81°F. Key variables include wind direction shifts, dew point trends, and any late-day clearing that might allow brief warming, though historical analogs for mid-June cool outbreaks support the current market distribution. Updated NWS model guidance and real-time observations remain the primary near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥6月17日的最高溫度?
66-67°F 29%
64-65°F 25.0%
68-69°F 22%
70-71°F 10%
$106,425 交易量
$106,425 交易量
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
<1%
華氏78度或以上
<1%
66-67°F 29%
64-65°F 25.0%
68-69°F 22%
70-71°F 10%
$106,425 交易量
$106,425 交易量
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
<1%
華氏78度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago on June 17, driven by northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, with official guidance centering on a high near 73°F at Midway Airport. Trader consensus favoring 64–69°F ranges reflects model runs emphasizing stronger lake-effect moderation and a lingering frontal boundary that could suppress peak readings below seasonal normals of 81°F. Key variables include wind direction shifts, dew point trends, and any late-day clearing that might allow brief warming, though historical analogs for mid-June cool outbreaks support the current market distribution. Updated NWS model guidance and real-time observations remain the primary near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions