Current ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo’s June 18 maximum will likely fall near 25–27 °C amid the tsuyu rainy season, with light southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover limiting strong daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters around 26 °C because models show modest insolation under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-June climatology where urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to regional readings. Lower outcomes (24 °C or below) gain probability if heavier showers or thicker stratiform clouds reduce surface shortwave radiation, while 28 °C or higher would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence under an amplified subtropical high. The broad distribution reflects inherent 48-hour forecast uncertainty in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new model runs and satellite observations expected to narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
26°C 33%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
13%
25°C
22%
26°C
33%
27°C
21%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
21°C or below
$232 交易量
<1%
22°C
$28 交易量
1%
23°C
$66 交易量
3%
24°C
$62 交易量
13%
25°C
$6 交易量
22%
26°C
$17 交易量
33%
27°C
$73 交易量
21%
28°C
$1 交易量
6%
29°C
$296 交易量
6%
30°C
$27 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$11 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo’s June 18 maximum will likely fall near 25–27 °C amid the tsuyu rainy season, with light southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover limiting strong daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters around 26 °C because models show modest insolation under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-June climatology where urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to regional readings. Lower outcomes (24 °C or below) gain probability if heavier showers or thicker stratiform clouds reduce surface shortwave radiation, while 28 °C or higher would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence under an amplified subtropical high. The broad distribution reflects inherent 48-hour forecast uncertainty in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new model runs and satellite observations expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$748結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo’s June 18 maximum will likely fall near 25–27 °C amid the tsuyu rainy season, with light southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover limiting strong daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters around 26 °C because models show modest insolation under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-June climatology where urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to regional readings. Lower outcomes (24 °C or below) gain probability if heavier showers or thicker stratiform clouds reduce surface shortwave radiation, while 28 °C or higher would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence under an amplified subtropical high. The broad distribution reflects inherent 48-hour forecast uncertainty in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new model runs and satellite observations expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$748結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo’s June 18 maximum will likely fall near 25–27 °C amid the tsuyu rainy season, with light southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover limiting strong daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters around 26 °C because models show modest insolation under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-June climatology where urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to regional readings. Lower outcomes (24 °C or below) gain probability if heavier showers or thicker stratiform clouds reduce surface shortwave radiation, while 28 °C or higher would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence under an amplified subtropical high. The broad distribution reflects inherent 48-hour forecast uncertainty in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, with new model runs and satellite observations expected to narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions