Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting model runs highlight building high pressure and clear skies driving a sharp warming trend across northern France, positioning Paris for a potential heat peak on June 18 with daytime maxima near 36°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this value, reflecting consistent signals for strong insolation and light winds, though minor differences in exact timing of the thermal maximum or boundary-layer mixing keep 35°C as a close second. Historical June baselines in Paris average 22–24°C, making the current anomaly notable but within plausible model uncertainty ranges typical for 48-hour outlooks. Traders are weighting the official agency consensus most heavily while monitoring the next update cycle for any downward revision in peak readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
34°C 11%
37°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
32%
36°C
38%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
34°C 11%
37°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
32°C or below
$698 交易量
1%
33°C
$291 交易量
4%
34°C
$317 交易量
11%
35°C
$623 交易量
32%
36°C
$411 交易量
38%
37°C
$279 交易量
9%
38°C
$685 交易量
3%
39°C
$237 交易量
1%
40°C
$426 交易量
<1%
41°C
$148 交易量
<1%
42°C or higher
$251 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting model runs highlight building high pressure and clear skies driving a sharp warming trend across northern France, positioning Paris for a potential heat peak on June 18 with daytime maxima near 36°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this value, reflecting consistent signals for strong insolation and light winds, though minor differences in exact timing of the thermal maximum or boundary-layer mixing keep 35°C as a close second. Historical June baselines in Paris average 22–24°C, making the current anomaly notable but within plausible model uncertainty ranges typical for 48-hour outlooks. Traders are weighting the official agency consensus most heavily while monitoring the next update cycle for any downward revision in peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
交易量
$4,366結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting model runs highlight building high pressure and clear skies driving a sharp warming trend across northern France, positioning Paris for a potential heat peak on June 18 with daytime maxima near 36°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this value, reflecting consistent signals for strong insolation and light winds, though minor differences in exact timing of the thermal maximum or boundary-layer mixing keep 35°C as a close second. Historical June baselines in Paris average 22–24°C, making the current anomaly notable but within plausible model uncertainty ranges typical for 48-hour outlooks. Traders are weighting the official agency consensus most heavily while monitoring the next update cycle for any downward revision in peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,366結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETRecent Météo-France guidance and supporting model runs highlight building high pressure and clear skies driving a sharp warming trend across northern France, positioning Paris for a potential heat peak on June 18 with daytime maxima near 36°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this value, reflecting consistent signals for strong insolation and light winds, though minor differences in exact timing of the thermal maximum or boundary-layer mixing keep 35°C as a close second. Historical June baselines in Paris average 22–24°C, making the current anomaly notable but within plausible model uncertainty ranges typical for 48-hour outlooks. Traders are weighting the official agency consensus most heavily while monitoring the next update cycle for any downward revision in peak readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions