Recent short-range numerical weather prediction model runs and observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a moderate air mass over Seoul, with daytime highs likely peaking near 28–29°C on June 16 amid partly cloudy conditions and light westerly flow. This narrow spread in trader-implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in diurnal heating rates, modulated by variable cloud cover that can reduce solar insolation by 10–20% and modest humidity levels limiting extreme temperature spikes. Historical June climatology places typical maxima around 26–28°C early in the month, providing context for why outcomes above 30°C carry low market weight despite occasional model outliers showing brief warming. Updated KMA guidance and afternoon model consensus runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 28°C versus 29°C distinction ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
29°C 31%
28°C 29%
27°C 21%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
21%
28°C
29%
29°C
31%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 31%
28°C 29%
27°C 21%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
22°C or below
$319 交易量
<1%
23°C
$868 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,865 交易量
<1%
25°C
$985 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,038 交易量
7%
27°C
$1,055 交易量
21%
28°C
$841 交易量
29%
29°C
$1,008 交易量
31%
30°C
$1,217 交易量
9%
31°C
$356 交易量
2%
32°C or higher
$1,201 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range numerical weather prediction model runs and observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a moderate air mass over Seoul, with daytime highs likely peaking near 28–29°C on June 16 amid partly cloudy conditions and light westerly flow. This narrow spread in trader-implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in diurnal heating rates, modulated by variable cloud cover that can reduce solar insolation by 10–20% and modest humidity levels limiting extreme temperature spikes. Historical June climatology places typical maxima around 26–28°C early in the month, providing context for why outcomes above 30°C carry low market weight despite occasional model outliers showing brief warming. Updated KMA guidance and afternoon model consensus runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 28°C versus 29°C distinction ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$9,947結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range numerical weather prediction model runs and observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a moderate air mass over Seoul, with daytime highs likely peaking near 28–29°C on June 16 amid partly cloudy conditions and light westerly flow. This narrow spread in trader-implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in diurnal heating rates, modulated by variable cloud cover that can reduce solar insolation by 10–20% and modest humidity levels limiting extreme temperature spikes. Historical June climatology places typical maxima around 26–28°C early in the month, providing context for why outcomes above 30°C carry low market weight despite occasional model outliers showing brief warming. Updated KMA guidance and afternoon model consensus runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 28°C versus 29°C distinction ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,947結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ETRecent short-range numerical weather prediction model runs and observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a moderate air mass over Seoul, with daytime highs likely peaking near 28–29°C on June 16 amid partly cloudy conditions and light westerly flow. This narrow spread in trader-implied probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in diurnal heating rates, modulated by variable cloud cover that can reduce solar insolation by 10–20% and modest humidity levels limiting extreme temperature spikes. Historical June climatology places typical maxima around 26–28°C early in the month, providing context for why outcomes above 30°C carry low market weight despite occasional model outliers showing brief warming. Updated KMA guidance and afternoon model consensus runs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 28°C versus 29°C distinction ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions