Current meteorological forecasts for Wuhan on June 14, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum near 29°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June subtropical monsoon patterns, driving the market's 93.8% implied probability on that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble models emphasize limited diurnal warming due to moderate humidity, light southeasterly winds, and partial cloud cover, consistent with climatological baselines of 28–30°C highs for the period. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader consensus around this threshold. A shift to clearer skies or altered steering patterns could push readings to 30–31°C, while increased precipitation or thicker cloud decks might cap the peak below 29°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
29°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,413 交易量
$56,413 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,413 交易量
$56,413 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Wuhan on June 14, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum near 29°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June subtropical monsoon patterns, driving the market's 93.8% implied probability on that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble models emphasize limited diurnal warming due to moderate humidity, light southeasterly winds, and partial cloud cover, consistent with climatological baselines of 28–30°C highs for the period. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader consensus around this threshold. A shift to clearer skies or altered steering patterns could push readings to 30–31°C, while increased precipitation or thicker cloud decks might cap the peak below 29°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions