PAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 34°C daily high as the most probable outcome for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market’s leading 37.5% implied probability. Official forecasts show 25–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% rain chance, consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon season that typically brings afternoon thunderstorms without sharply suppressing peak temperatures. Historical June averages near 32–33°C and recent model runs indicating limited variability from steering patterns or cloud cover further concentrate trader sentiment around 33–34°C, while the modest probabilities for 35°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clear, drier conditions that could push maxima upward. Updated PAGASA briefings and any shifts in monsoon strength remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
34°C 38%
33°C 25%
35°C 16%
36°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
38%
35°C
16%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C 或更高
1%
34°C 38%
33°C 25%
35°C 16%
36°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
28°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5 交易量
<1%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$121 交易量
1%
32°C
$21 交易量
8%
33°C
$23 交易量
25%
34°C
$32 交易量
38%
35°C
$0 交易量
16%
36°C
$0 交易量
8%
37°C
$5 交易量
2%
38°C 或更高
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 34°C daily high as the most probable outcome for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market’s leading 37.5% implied probability. Official forecasts show 25–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% rain chance, consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon season that typically brings afternoon thunderstorms without sharply suppressing peak temperatures. Historical June averages near 32–33°C and recent model runs indicating limited variability from steering patterns or cloud cover further concentrate trader sentiment around 33–34°C, while the modest probabilities for 35°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clear, drier conditions that could push maxima upward. Updated PAGASA briefings and any shifts in monsoon strength remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$221結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 34°C daily high as the most probable outcome for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market’s leading 37.5% implied probability. Official forecasts show 25–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% rain chance, consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon season that typically brings afternoon thunderstorms without sharply suppressing peak temperatures. Historical June averages near 32–33°C and recent model runs indicating limited variability from steering patterns or cloud cover further concentrate trader sentiment around 33–34°C, while the modest probabilities for 35°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clear, drier conditions that could push maxima upward. Updated PAGASA briefings and any shifts in monsoon strength remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$221結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETPAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 34°C daily high as the most probable outcome for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market’s leading 37.5% implied probability. Official forecasts show 25–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% rain chance, consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon season that typically brings afternoon thunderstorms without sharply suppressing peak temperatures. Historical June averages near 32–33°C and recent model runs indicating limited variability from steering patterns or cloud cover further concentrate trader sentiment around 33–34°C, while the modest probabilities for 35°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clear, drier conditions that could push maxima upward. Updated PAGASA briefings and any shifts in monsoon strength remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions