Current forecasts from major meteorological sources indicate Shanghai’s overnight low on June 14 will settle near 20 °C amid typical early-summer plum-rain conditions, with daytime highs in the mid-20s and light rain or overcast skies limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble model runs and historical climatology for mid-June show minimum temperatures clustering tightly around this value, producing the overwhelming market-implied probability of 99.4 % for exactly 20 °C. A sudden influx of cooler northerly air or a sharper-than-expected drop in humidity could push readings a degree lower, yet such shifts remain unlikely given the stable steering pattern and short forecast horizon remaining on resolution day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日上海最低溫度？
6月14日上海最低溫度？
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
$59,527 交易量
$59,527 交易量
2026-06-14
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
$59,527 交易量
$59,527 交易量
2026-06-14
17°C或以下
$2,921 交易量
<1%
18°C
$4,861 交易量
<1%
19°C
$3,808 交易量
1%
20°C
$5,350 交易量
99%
21°C
$6,849 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,849 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,138 交易量
<1%
24°C
$8,002 交易量
<1%
25°C
$7,679 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,257 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$2,811 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major meteorological sources indicate Shanghai’s overnight low on June 14 will settle near 20 °C amid typical early-summer plum-rain conditions, with daytime highs in the mid-20s and light rain or overcast skies limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble model runs and historical climatology for mid-June show minimum temperatures clustering tightly around this value, producing the overwhelming market-implied probability of 99.4 % for exactly 20 °C. A sudden influx of cooler northerly air or a sharper-than-expected drop in humidity could push readings a degree lower, yet such shifts remain unlikely given the stable steering pattern and short forecast horizon remaining on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$59,527結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major meteorological sources indicate Shanghai’s overnight low on June 14 will settle near 20 °C amid typical early-summer plum-rain conditions, with daytime highs in the mid-20s and light rain or overcast skies limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble model runs and historical climatology for mid-June show minimum temperatures clustering tightly around this value, producing the overwhelming market-implied probability of 99.4 % for exactly 20 °C. A sudden influx of cooler northerly air or a sharper-than-expected drop in humidity could push readings a degree lower, yet such shifts remain unlikely given the stable steering pattern and short forecast horizon remaining on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$59,527結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from major meteorological sources indicate Shanghai’s overnight low on June 14 will settle near 20 °C amid typical early-summer plum-rain conditions, with daytime highs in the mid-20s and light rain or overcast skies limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble model runs and historical climatology for mid-June show minimum temperatures clustering tightly around this value, producing the overwhelming market-implied probability of 99.4 % for exactly 20 °C. A sudden influx of cooler northerly air or a sharper-than-expected drop in humidity could push readings a degree lower, yet such shifts remain unlikely given the stable steering pattern and short forecast horizon remaining on resolution day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions