Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will likely fall in the 21–22°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (54%) and 21°C (28%). June's plum rain (meiyu) season typically delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderated temperatures, with climatological minimums averaging near 21–24°C and rarely deviating sharply in mid-month. Current model consensus shows no strong heat wave or cold surge, keeping extremes below 20°C or above 23°C at low probabilities. Updated NMC or CMA guidance and any last-minute model shifts before midnight local time on June 14 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日上海最低溫度？
6月15日上海最低溫度？
22°C 40%
21°C 36.6%
23°C 8%
20°C 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
28%
22°C
53%
23°C
8%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
22°C 40%
21°C 36.6%
23°C 8%
20°C 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
17°C或以下
$522 交易量
<1%
18°C
$42 交易量
<1%
19°C
$605 交易量
1%
20°C
$577 交易量
4%
21°C
$310 交易量
28%
22°C
$119 交易量
53%
23°C
$1,059 交易量
8%
24°C
$2,703 交易量
<1%
25°C
$570 交易量
1%
26°C
$700 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$761 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will likely fall in the 21–22°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (54%) and 21°C (28%). June's plum rain (meiyu) season typically delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderated temperatures, with climatological minimums averaging near 21–24°C and rarely deviating sharply in mid-month. Current model consensus shows no strong heat wave or cold surge, keeping extremes below 20°C or above 23°C at low probabilities. Updated NMC or CMA guidance and any last-minute model shifts before midnight local time on June 14 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
交易量
$7,963結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will likely fall in the 21–22°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (54%) and 21°C (28%). June's plum rain (meiyu) season typically delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderated temperatures, with climatological minimums averaging near 21–24°C and rarely deviating sharply in mid-month. Current model consensus shows no strong heat wave or cold surge, keeping extremes below 20°C or above 23°C at low probabilities. Updated NMC or CMA guidance and any last-minute model shifts before midnight local time on June 14 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,963結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will likely fall in the 21–22°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (54%) and 21°C (28%). June's plum rain (meiyu) season typically delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderated temperatures, with climatological minimums averaging near 21–24°C and rarely deviating sharply in mid-month. Current model consensus shows no strong heat wave or cold surge, keeping extremes below 20°C or above 23°C at low probabilities. Updated NMC or CMA guidance and any last-minute model shifts before midnight local time on June 14 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions