Recent forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and private models indicate peak temperatures in Lucknow around 38–45°C on June 16 amid pre-monsoon heatwave conditions, with above-normal daytime maxima driven by strong solar heating, low soil moisture, and limited cloud cover across the Indo-Gangetic plains. The market’s concentration on 38°C (36.5%) and 39°C (22%) reflects trader weighting of ensemble consensus and historical June baselines near 39°C, tempered by uncertainty over short-term steering patterns or localized convection that could moderate extremes. Elevated probabilities for 37°C versus 40°C+ outcomes align with expected variability in maximum readings at official stations, where model spreads remain notable two days out. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
38°C 37%
39°C 22%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
35°C or below
2%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
22%
40°C
9%
41°C
3%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 37%
39°C 22%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
35°C or below
$124 交易量
2%
36°C
$49 交易量
9%
37°C
$347 交易量
15%
38°C
$70 交易量
37%
39°C
$71 交易量
22%
40°C
$32 交易量
9%
41°C
$27 交易量
3%
42°C
$118 交易量
1%
43°C
$206 交易量
1%
44°C
$90 交易量
1%
45°C or higher
$422 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and private models indicate peak temperatures in Lucknow around 38–45°C on June 16 amid pre-monsoon heatwave conditions, with above-normal daytime maxima driven by strong solar heating, low soil moisture, and limited cloud cover across the Indo-Gangetic plains. The market’s concentration on 38°C (36.5%) and 39°C (22%) reflects trader weighting of ensemble consensus and historical June baselines near 39°C, tempered by uncertainty over short-term steering patterns or localized convection that could moderate extremes. Elevated probabilities for 37°C versus 40°C+ outcomes align with expected variability in maximum readings at official stations, where model spreads remain notable two days out. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
交易量
$1,556結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and private models indicate peak temperatures in Lucknow around 38–45°C on June 16 amid pre-monsoon heatwave conditions, with above-normal daytime maxima driven by strong solar heating, low soil moisture, and limited cloud cover across the Indo-Gangetic plains. The market’s concentration on 38°C (36.5%) and 39°C (22%) reflects trader weighting of ensemble consensus and historical June baselines near 39°C, tempered by uncertainty over short-term steering patterns or localized convection that could moderate extremes. Elevated probabilities for 37°C versus 40°C+ outcomes align with expected variability in maximum readings at official stations, where model spreads remain notable two days out. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,556結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and private models indicate peak temperatures in Lucknow around 38–45°C on June 16 amid pre-monsoon heatwave conditions, with above-normal daytime maxima driven by strong solar heating, low soil moisture, and limited cloud cover across the Indo-Gangetic plains. The market’s concentration on 38°C (36.5%) and 39°C (22%) reflects trader weighting of ensemble consensus and historical June baselines near 39°C, tempered by uncertainty over short-term steering patterns or localized convection that could moderate extremes. Elevated probabilities for 37°C versus 40°C+ outcomes align with expected variability in maximum readings at official stations, where model spreads remain notable two days out. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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