**IMD short-range forecasts for Lucknow on June 14 point to a maximum of around 37°C amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thundershowers over western Uttar Pradesh.** This consensus, reinforced by model guidance showing moisture incursion from the east and a western disturbance influence, has anchored the highest trader-implied probability at 37°C (44.5%), followed by 38°C (23.0%) and 36°C (20.5%). June typically features peak pre-monsoon heat across the Indo-Gangetic plains, with climatological maxima often 38–42°C when dry westerly “loo” winds dominate. However, recent synoptic developments—including rising humidity, cloud cover, and scattered convective activity—have suppressed daytime heating relative to earlier June heatwave conditions that pushed readings above 40°C in parts of Uttar Pradesh. Official monitoring from the India Meteorological Department emphasizes these factors as the main drivers keeping the peak near or just below the long-term early-June mean. Resolution hinges on the official Lucknow observatory reading; any last-minute shift in steering flow or thunderstorm timing could nudge the outcome into the adjacent 36°C or 38°C brackets, though current data favor the central 37°C outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?
37°C 45%
38°C 24%
36°C 21%
39°C 7%
$14,457 交易量
$14,457 交易量
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
21%
37°C
45%
38°C
24%
39°C
7%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
37°C 45%
38°C 24%
36°C 21%
39°C 7%
$14,457 交易量
$14,457 交易量
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
21%
37°C
45%
38°C
24%
39°C
7%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**IMD short-range forecasts for Lucknow on June 14 point to a maximum of around 37°C amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thundershowers over western Uttar Pradesh.** This consensus, reinforced by model guidance showing moisture incursion from the east and a western disturbance influence, has anchored the highest trader-implied probability at 37°C (44.5%), followed by 38°C (23.0%) and 36°C (20.5%). June typically features peak pre-monsoon heat across the Indo-Gangetic plains, with climatological maxima often 38–42°C when dry westerly “loo” winds dominate. However, recent synoptic developments—including rising humidity, cloud cover, and scattered convective activity—have suppressed daytime heating relative to earlier June heatwave conditions that pushed readings above 40°C in parts of Uttar Pradesh. Official monitoring from the India Meteorological Department emphasizes these factors as the main drivers keeping the peak near or just below the long-term early-June mean. Resolution hinges on the official Lucknow observatory reading; any last-minute shift in steering flow or thunderstorm timing could nudge the outcome into the adjacent 36°C or 38°C brackets, though current data favor the central 37°C outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions