**Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington on June 15, 2026, anchor trader sentiment around a 15–16°C maximum, with 17°C as a plausible upside case under persistent northerly flow.** Official guidance shows highs near 16°C accompanied by showers turning to rain later in the day and winds shifting from northwesterlies to southwesterlies, consistent with typical mid-winter variability in the region. June climatology places average daily highs around 13°C, so the current setup reflects a mild anomaly supported by northerly advection. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures overall for the Wellington region, but short-range models have held steady near 16°C in recent runs. Traders price 17°C highest (52.5% implied) and 16°C next (39%), reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and any late adjustment from evolving frontal systems or wind shifts. Lower outcomes (15°C or below) receive minimal probability given the consensus guidance, while 18°C+ remains a low-probability tail scenario requiring stronger warm advection than currently modeled. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 24 hours will likely drive the sharpest repricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 53%
16°C 39%
18°C 10%
15°C 1.4%
最新
$21,098 交易量
最新
$21,098 交易量
2026-06-15
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
39%
17°C
53%
18°C
10%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 53%
16°C 39%
18°C 10%
15°C 1.4%
最新
$21,098 交易量
最新
$21,098 交易量
2026-06-15
11°C or below
$167 交易量
<1%
12°C
$365 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,254 交易量
<1%
14°C
$3,225 交易量
<1%
15°C
$3,869 交易量
1%
16°C
$3,181 交易量
39%
17°C
$3,191 交易量
53%
18°C
$2,587 交易量
10%
19°C
$1,141 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,017 交易量
<1%
21°C or higher
$357 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington on June 15, 2026, anchor trader sentiment around a 15–16°C maximum, with 17°C as a plausible upside case under persistent northerly flow.** Official guidance shows highs near 16°C accompanied by showers turning to rain later in the day and winds shifting from northwesterlies to southwesterlies, consistent with typical mid-winter variability in the region.
June climatology places average daily highs around 13°C, so the current setup reflects a mild anomaly supported by northerly advection. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures overall for the Wellington region, but short-range models have held steady near 16°C in recent runs.
Traders price 17°C highest (52.5% implied) and 16°C next (39%), reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and any late adjustment from evolving frontal systems or wind shifts. Lower outcomes (15°C or below) receive minimal probability given the consensus guidance, while 18°C+ remains a low-probability tail scenario requiring stronger warm advection than currently modeled. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 24 hours will likely drive the sharpest repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$21,098結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington on June 15, 2026, anchor trader sentiment around a 15–16°C maximum, with 17°C as a plausible upside case under persistent northerly flow.** Official guidance shows highs near 16°C accompanied by showers turning to rain later in the day and winds shifting from northwesterlies to southwesterlies, consistent with typical mid-winter variability in the region.
June climatology places average daily highs around 13°C, so the current setup reflects a mild anomaly supported by northerly advection. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures overall for the Wellington region, but short-range models have held steady near 16°C in recent runs.
Traders price 17°C highest (52.5% implied) and 16°C next (39%), reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and any late adjustment from evolving frontal systems or wind shifts. Lower outcomes (15°C or below) receive minimal probability given the consensus guidance, while 18°C+ remains a low-probability tail scenario requiring stronger warm advection than currently modeled. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 24 hours will likely drive the sharpest repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,098結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET**Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington on June 15, 2026, anchor trader sentiment around a 15–16°C maximum, with 17°C as a plausible upside case under persistent northerly flow.** Official guidance shows highs near 16°C accompanied by showers turning to rain later in the day and winds shifting from northwesterlies to southwesterlies, consistent with typical mid-winter variability in the region. June climatology places average daily highs around 13°C, so the current setup reflects a mild anomaly supported by northerly advection. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures overall for the Wellington region, but short-range models have held steady near 16°C in recent runs. Traders price 17°C highest (52.5% implied) and 16°C next (39%), reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and any late adjustment from evolving frontal systems or wind shifts. Lower outcomes (15°C or below) receive minimal probability given the consensus guidance, while 18°C+ remains a low-probability tail scenario requiring stronger warm advection than currently modeled. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 24 hours will likely drive the sharpest repricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions