**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's June 16 low temperature centers on short-range forecast consensus around 22–23°C, reflecting the ongoing East Asian monsoon (meiyu or plum rain) period.** This season brings persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and high humidity that moderates overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal norms of 21–24°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Current model guidance from sources such as timeanddate and BBC Weather points to overnight lows near 22–23°C (72–73°F) under overcast skies and gentle southerly breezes on June 16, with light precipitation further limiting temperature swings. AccuWeather’s extended outlook similarly shows overnight values clustered between roughly 22–25°C through mid-June. The tight spread between the leading market outcomes (23°C at 35%, 22°C at 29%, 24°C at 21%) mirrors small differences among ensemble members regarding exact cloud thickness, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer moisture, all of which influence how much the surface cools after sunset. No major synoptic shift is expected before the date, so probabilities remain anchored to these near-term dynamical and statistical guidance updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月16日上海最低溫度?
23°C 35%
22°C 29%
24°C 21%
21°C 12%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
29%
23°C
35%
24°C
21%
25°C
10%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 35%
22°C 29%
24°C 21%
21°C 12%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
29%
23°C
35%
24°C
21%
25°C
10%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's June 16 low temperature centers on short-range forecast consensus around 22–23°C, reflecting the ongoing East Asian monsoon (meiyu or plum rain) period.** This season brings persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and high humidity that moderates overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal norms of 21–24°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Current model guidance from sources such as timeanddate and BBC Weather points to overnight lows near 22–23°C (72–73°F) under overcast skies and gentle southerly breezes on June 16, with light precipitation further limiting temperature swings. AccuWeather’s extended outlook similarly shows overnight values clustered between roughly 22–25°C through mid-June. The tight spread between the leading market outcomes (23°C at 35%, 22°C at 29%, 24°C at 21%) mirrors small differences among ensemble members regarding exact cloud thickness, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer moisture, all of which influence how much the surface cools after sunset. No major synoptic shift is expected before the date, so probabilities remain anchored to these near-term dynamical and statistical guidance updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions