Recent model consensus from Chinese meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Wuhan on June 16, driven by persistent early-season heat across central China that has already produced record electricity demand and temperatures approaching 40°C in surrounding provinces. Regional patterns of high pressure combined with above-normal moisture from southern flood-season rains are moderating daytime peaks while adding humidity that supports the narrow spread between those two leading outcomes. Historical June averages hover near 31°C, but 2026’s accelerated warming trend has shifted probabilities upward. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
32°C 35%
33°C 28%
31°C 19%
30°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
19%
32°C
35%
33°C
28%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 28%
31°C 19%
30°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
19%
32°C
35%
33°C
28%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from Chinese meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Wuhan on June 16, driven by persistent early-season heat across central China that has already produced record electricity demand and temperatures approaching 40°C in surrounding provinces. Regional patterns of high pressure combined with above-normal moisture from southern flood-season rains are moderating daytime peaks while adding humidity that supports the narrow spread between those two leading outcomes. Historical June averages hover near 31°C, but 2026’s accelerated warming trend has shifted probabilities upward. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions