Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daytime maximum near 31–33°C in Wuhan on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with increasing solar insolation, moderate humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and light southerly winds that limit rapid cooling. Forecast spreads arise from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and localized urban heat island effects, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover around 30–32°C, placing current trader sentiment in line with observed climatology while reflecting real-time adjustments from the latest ensemble runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
32°C 37%
31°C 30%
33°C 22%
30°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
30%
32°C
37%
33°C
22%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 30%
33°C 22%
30°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
30%
32°C
37%
33°C
22%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daytime maximum near 31–33°C in Wuhan on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with increasing solar insolation, moderate humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and light southerly winds that limit rapid cooling. Forecast spreads arise from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and localized urban heat island effects, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover around 30–32°C, placing current trader sentiment in line with observed climatology while reflecting real-time adjustments from the latest ensemble runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions