Current forecasts from global and regional models, including consensus around 29–31°C, position 29°C as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, with 30°C at 25.5% and 28°C at 18.5%. Beijing’s early-June climatology features average daily highs near 30°C under typical subtropical high influence, yet today’s setup—mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and residual moisture from overnight showers—limits surface heating and caps potential maxima. Ensemble spread accounts for the tight clustering around 28–31°C, while lower and higher bins remain minimal given stable steering patterns and no incoming heat advection. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market, with afternoon observations providing the final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日北京最高溫度？
6月14日北京最高溫度？
29°C 45%
28°C 26%
30°C 19%
27°C 5.1%
$50,443 交易量
$50,443 交易量
2026-06-14
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
26%
29°C
45%
30°C
19%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 45%
28°C 26%
30°C 19%
27°C 5.1%
$50,443 交易量
$50,443 交易量
2026-06-14
24°C或以下
$3,164 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,141 交易量
<1%
26°C
$10,391 交易量
<1%
27°C
$7,243 交易量
5%
28°C
$5,462 交易量
26%
29°C
$4,336 交易量
45%
30°C
$6,976 交易量
19%
31°C
$5,013 交易量
3%
32°C
$4,432 交易量
1%
33°C
$3,209 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$2,795 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models, including consensus around 29–31°C, position 29°C as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, with 30°C at 25.5% and 28°C at 18.5%. Beijing’s early-June climatology features average daily highs near 30°C under typical subtropical high influence, yet today’s setup—mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and residual moisture from overnight showers—limits surface heating and caps potential maxima. Ensemble spread accounts for the tight clustering around 28–31°C, while lower and higher bins remain minimal given stable steering patterns and no incoming heat advection. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market, with afternoon observations providing the final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$50,443結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models, including consensus around 29–31°C, position 29°C as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, with 30°C at 25.5% and 28°C at 18.5%. Beijing’s early-June climatology features average daily highs near 30°C under typical subtropical high influence, yet today’s setup—mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and residual moisture from overnight showers—limits surface heating and caps potential maxima. Ensemble spread accounts for the tight clustering around 28–31°C, while lower and higher bins remain minimal given stable steering patterns and no incoming heat advection. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market, with afternoon observations providing the final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50,443結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecasts from global and regional models, including consensus around 29–31°C, position 29°C as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability, with 30°C at 25.5% and 28°C at 18.5%. Beijing’s early-June climatology features average daily highs near 30°C under typical subtropical high influence, yet today’s setup—mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and residual moisture from overnight showers—limits surface heating and caps potential maxima. Ensemble spread accounts for the tight clustering around 28–31°C, while lower and higher bins remain minimal given stable steering patterns and no incoming heat advection. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market, with afternoon observations providing the final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions