**Latest numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models show Beijing's June 15 maximum temperature centered near 30 °C, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes between 29–31 °C.** This consensus arises from moderate southerly flow, daytime solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and limited convective inhibition that could produce scattered thundershowers capable of trimming peak heating by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add a small positive bias, while higher boundary-layer humidity and any earlier cloud build-up favor the 29 °C outcome. Traders are weighting the 30 °C bin most heavily because recent model updates have stabilized the median forecast just above the 30 °C threshold without strong signals for either substantial cooling or rapid warming. New CMA guidance and afternoon model cycles expected before market close will refine the final range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
30°C 44%
29°C 35%
28°C 16%
27°C 4.1%
最新
$39,365 交易量
最新
$39,365 交易量
2026-06-15
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
35%
30°C
44%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
29°C 35%
28°C 16%
27°C 4.1%
最新
$39,365 交易量
最新
$39,365 交易量
2026-06-15
25°C or below
$4,499 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,696 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,743 交易量
4%
28°C
$1,622 交易量
16%
29°C
$1,418 交易量
35%
30°C
$2,889 交易量
44%
31°C
$5,522 交易量
4%
32°C
$5,838 交易量
1%
33°C
$4,996 交易量
<1%
34°C
$4,289 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$5,591 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models show Beijing's June 15 maximum temperature centered near 30 °C, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes between 29–31 °C.** This consensus arises from moderate southerly flow, daytime solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and limited convective inhibition that could produce scattered thundershowers capable of trimming peak heating by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add a small positive bias, while higher boundary-layer humidity and any earlier cloud build-up favor the 29 °C outcome. Traders are weighting the 30 °C bin most heavily because recent model updates have stabilized the median forecast just above the 30 °C threshold without strong signals for either substantial cooling or rapid warming. New CMA guidance and afternoon model cycles expected before market close will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$39,365結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models show Beijing's June 15 maximum temperature centered near 30 °C, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes between 29–31 °C.** This consensus arises from moderate southerly flow, daytime solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and limited convective inhibition that could produce scattered thundershowers capable of trimming peak heating by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add a small positive bias, while higher boundary-layer humidity and any earlier cloud build-up favor the 29 °C outcome. Traders are weighting the 30 °C bin most heavily because recent model updates have stabilized the median forecast just above the 30 °C threshold without strong signals for either substantial cooling or rapid warming. New CMA guidance and afternoon model cycles expected before market close will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,365結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET**Latest numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models show Beijing's June 15 maximum temperature centered near 30 °C, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes between 29–31 °C.** This consensus arises from moderate southerly flow, daytime solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and limited convective inhibition that could produce scattered thundershowers capable of trimming peak heating by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add a small positive bias, while higher boundary-layer humidity and any earlier cloud build-up favor the 29 °C outcome. Traders are weighting the 30 °C bin most heavily because recent model updates have stabilized the median forecast just above the 30 °C threshold without strong signals for either substantial cooling or rapid warming. New CMA guidance and afternoon model cycles expected before market close will refine the final range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions