Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Seoul's June 15 maximum temperature centered near 28–29°C under a building subtropical high, with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting modest daytime heating. Urban heat island effects and typical early-summer humidity levels add minor upward bias, while any late-day sea breeze or thin cirrus could cap readings at 28°C. The tight 37.5 %–30.5 % split between the two leading outcomes reflects small ensemble spread and resolution uncertainty in peak-hour observations, with lower-probability tails (30°C or above at 18 %) requiring stronger ridging or clearer skies than currently indicated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
29°C 38%
28°C 31%
30°C 12%
27°C 10%
$44,739 交易量
$44,739 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
31%
29°C
38%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 38%
28°C 31%
30°C 12%
27°C 10%
$44,739 交易量
$44,739 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
31%
29°C
38%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Seoul's June 15 maximum temperature centered near 28–29°C under a building subtropical high, with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting modest daytime heating. Urban heat island effects and typical early-summer humidity levels add minor upward bias, while any late-day sea breeze or thin cirrus could cap readings at 28°C. The tight 37.5 %–30.5 % split between the two leading outcomes reflects small ensemble spread and resolution uncertainty in peak-hour observations, with lower-probability tails (30°C or above at 18 %) requiring stronger ridging or clearer skies than currently indicated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions