Current forecast models from European meteorological centers point to a Warsaw high near 17°C on June 14, with mostly cloudy skies, isolated showers, and moderate westerly winds suppressing daytime heating and aligning with the market's strong 66.5% weighting on 17°C versus 33.5% on 18°C. These conditions match climatological expectations for mid-June in central Poland while reflecting the latest consensus runs that limit solar insolation and keep maximum readings below seasonal averages of 22°C. Traders are closely monitoring any afternoon clearing that could allow a brief push toward 18°C, with resolution hinging on official observations from local stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日華沙的最高溫度?
17°C 64%
18°C 32.6%
19°C 2.4%
20°C或以上 <1%
$47,899 交易量
$47,899 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
64%
18°C
33%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
1%
17°C 64%
18°C 32.6%
19°C 2.4%
20°C或以上 <1%
$47,899 交易量
$47,899 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
64%
18°C
33%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from European meteorological centers point to a Warsaw high near 17°C on June 14, with mostly cloudy skies, isolated showers, and moderate westerly winds suppressing daytime heating and aligning with the market's strong 66.5% weighting on 17°C versus 33.5% on 18°C. These conditions match climatological expectations for mid-June in central Poland while reflecting the latest consensus runs that limit solar insolation and keep maximum readings below seasonal averages of 22°C. Traders are closely monitoring any afternoon clearing that could allow a brief push toward 18°C, with resolution hinging on official observations from local stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions