**Trader sentiment for Qingdao’s June 16 high clusters tightly around 27–28°C because ensemble forecasts from regional models show a narrow range of possible daily maxima near the seasonal average of 23–25°C, with modest upside from variable southerly flow.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with expected moderate humidity and light winds, caps extremes, while any reduction in cloud cover or a brief warm advection could add 2–3°C. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects lingering model spread on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the 16th, with the next CMA and ECMWF runs likely to tighten probabilities before resolution. Historical June maxima in Qingdao rarely exceed 28°C this early in the month, underscoring why lower outcomes retain small but non-zero market weight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
27°C 37%
28°C 35%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
37%
28°C
35%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
5%
27°C 37%
28°C 35%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
37%
28°C
35%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Qingdao’s June 16 high clusters tightly around 27–28°C because ensemble forecasts from regional models show a narrow range of possible daily maxima near the seasonal average of 23–25°C, with modest upside from variable southerly flow.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with expected moderate humidity and light winds, caps extremes, while any reduction in cloud cover or a brief warm advection could add 2–3°C. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects lingering model spread on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the 16th, with the next CMA and ECMWF runs likely to tighten probabilities before resolution. Historical June maxima in Qingdao rarely exceed 28°C this early in the month, underscoring why lower outcomes retain small but non-zero market weight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions