Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 25°C for Qingdao on June 14, supported by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of the Yellow Sea coast in mid-June. This aligns with climatological norms where average highs reach 23–25°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from that baseline with low precipitation risk. Trader consensus at 97.4% implied probability for 25°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unforecasted clear-sky heating could push readings to 26°C, while stronger onshore winds or increased cloudiness remain the main realistic paths to a lower outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 14?
25°C 97.4%
26°C 2.6%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$27,152 交易量
$27,152 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
97%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 97.4%
26°C 2.6%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$27,152 交易量
$27,152 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
97%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 25°C for Qingdao on June 14, supported by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of the Yellow Sea coast in mid-June. This aligns with climatological norms where average highs reach 23–25°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from that baseline with low precipitation risk. Trader consensus at 97.4% implied probability for 25°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unforecasted clear-sky heating could push readings to 26°C, while stronger onshore winds or increased cloudiness remain the main realistic paths to a lower outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions