Trader consensus has consolidated around a 70-71°F high for San Francisco on June 13 because official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum in that narrow range, consistent with marine-layer moderation and modest onshore flow typical for mid-June. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines near 66-70°F and recent model guidance that showed limited warming potential under stable atmospheric conditions. Uncertainties in real-time surface data or post-event quality-control revisions by NOAA could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 13?
70-71°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$128,194 交易量
$128,194 交易量
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$128,194 交易量
$128,194 交易量
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 9:15 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has consolidated around a 70-71°F high for San Francisco on June 13 because official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum in that narrow range, consistent with marine-layer moderation and modest onshore flow typical for mid-June. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines near 66-70°F and recent model guidance that showed limited warming potential under stable atmospheric conditions. Uncertainties in real-time surface data or post-event quality-control revisions by NOAA could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions