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icon for 6月14日香港最高溫度?

6月14日香港最高溫度?

icon for 6月14日香港最高溫度?

6月14日香港最高溫度?

29°C 100.0%

23°C或以下 <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$210,057 交易量

29°C 100.0%

23°C或以下 <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$210,057 交易量

23°C或以下

$618 交易量

<1%

24°C

$1,603 交易量

<1%

25°C

$1,398 交易量

<1%

26°C

$8,756 交易量

<1%

27°C

$37,725 交易量

<1%

28°C

$31,184 交易量

<1%

29°C

$55,839 交易量

100%

30°C

$26,995 交易量

<1%

31°C

$23,847 交易量

<1%

32°C

$12,830 交易量

<1%

33°C或以上

$9,373 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged overwhelmingly on 29 °C.** This reflects real-time data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing a daily maximum near that level under cloudy, rainy conditions with thunderstorms and a very hot weather warning in effect. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and southwesterly flow have suppressed further warming despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures across June–August. Official observations and model guidance indicate the mercury peaked around 28–29 °C amid heavy rain and limited sunshine, consistent with climatological patterns for mid-June when monsoon influences often cap daytime highs. The market-implied odds capture this high-certainty outcome based on verified measurements rather than forecasts alone. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unexpected clearing that allows stronger solar heating late in the day, though current radar and satellite data make significant upward revision improbable before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$210,057
結束日期
2026-06-14
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged overwhelmingly on 29 °C.** This reflects real-time data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing a daily maximum near that level under cloudy, rainy conditions with thunderstorms and a very hot weather warning in effect. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and southwesterly flow have suppressed further warming despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures across June–August. Official observations and model guidance indicate the mercury peaked around 28–29 °C amid heavy rain and limited sunshine, consistent with climatological patterns for mid-June when monsoon influences often cap daytime highs. The market-implied odds capture this high-certainty outcome based on verified measurements rather than forecasts alone. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unexpected clearing that allows stronger solar heating late in the day, though current radar and satellite data make significant upward revision improbable before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$210,057
結束日期
2026-06-14
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"6月14日香港最高溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "29°C" at 100%, followed by "23°C或以下" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "6月14日香港最高溫度?" has generated $210.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "6月14日香港最高溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "6月14日香港最高溫度?" is "29°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "23°C或以下" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "6月14日香港最高溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.