**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged overwhelmingly on 29 °C.** This reflects real-time data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing a daily maximum near that level under cloudy, rainy conditions with thunderstorms and a very hot weather warning in effect. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and southwesterly flow have suppressed further warming despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures across June–August. Official observations and model guidance indicate the mercury peaked around 28–29 °C amid heavy rain and limited sunshine, consistent with climatological patterns for mid-June when monsoon influences often cap daytime highs. The market-implied odds capture this high-certainty outcome based on verified measurements rather than forecasts alone. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unexpected clearing that allows stronger solar heating late in the day, though current radar and satellite data make significant upward revision improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日香港最高溫度?
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$210,057 交易量
$210,057 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$210,057 交易量
$210,057 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged overwhelmingly on 29 °C.** This reflects real-time data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing a daily maximum near that level under cloudy, rainy conditions with thunderstorms and a very hot weather warning in effect. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and southwesterly flow have suppressed further warming despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures across June–August. Official observations and model guidance indicate the mercury peaked around 28–29 °C amid heavy rain and limited sunshine, consistent with climatological patterns for mid-June when monsoon influences often cap daytime highs. The market-implied odds capture this high-certainty outcome based on verified measurements rather than forecasts alone. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unexpected clearing that allows stronger solar heating late in the day, though current radar and satellite data make significant upward revision improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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