Recent forecast runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul's overnight minimum on June 16 stabilizing near 19–20°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because short-range model ensembles currently agree on light winds and no significant frontal systems, though small variations in cloud cover or dew point could shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical June climatology places typical minima around 18–20°C, providing context for why probabilities for 18°C or 21°C remain secondary while extremes stay under 5%. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月16日首爾最低溫度?
19°C 41%
20°C 40%
18°C 17%
21°C 5%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
12%
19°C
41%
20°C
40%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C或以上
1%
19°C 41%
20°C 40%
18°C 17%
21°C 5%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
12%
19°C
41%
20°C
40%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul's overnight minimum on June 16 stabilizing near 19–20°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because short-range model ensembles currently agree on light winds and no significant frontal systems, though small variations in cloud cover or dew point could shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical June climatology places typical minima around 18–20°C, providing context for why probabilities for 18°C or 21°C remain secondary while extremes stay under 5%. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions