Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$57,375 交易量
$57,375 交易量
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$57,375 交易量
$57,375 交易量
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions